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Learn How to Read the Economic Data and What It Reveals in the Cycle
Economic data releases drive market moves. Traders must learn to read them correctly. Data reveals where we are in the economic cycle. This guides sentiment and trading decisions. Volume price analysis (VPA) adds confirmation. Learn how to read the economic data and what it reveals in the cycle
Key Economic Indicators and Cycle Phases
The cycle has four phases: recovery, expansion, slowdown, recession. Leading indicators like PMI signal early turns. Coincident indicators (GDP, employment) show current state. Lagging indicators (unemployment rate) confirm trends.
Strong data (high PMI, low unemployment) points to expansion. Weak data signals slowdown. Central bank responses follow—rate hikes in expansion, cuts in recession.
How Data Reveals Cycle Position
Positive surprises boost risk-on sentiment. Commodity currencies (AUD, CAD) strengthen. Negative surprises favor safe-havens (JPY, CHF). Volume price analysis confirms reactions—high volume on moves shows conviction.
Trading with Data and VPA
Wait for data release. Watch initial reaction. Use VPA for confirmation—high volume...