https://youtu.be/QQvzkV2brBE
Nice Move in the Euro Along with the Pound in the London Session
A nice move unfolded in the euro and pound during the London session. Both currencies gained strength. EUR/USD and GBP/USD rallied steadily. This reflected positive European sentiment. Traders spotted relational opportunities in majors and crosses.
Another great session this morning with David and myself as we showcase the Quantum Trading tools and indicators through the European open and into the London session, and the two currencies we focused on here were the British pound and the euro. As you would expect these are the currencies that take centre stage as European markets open, and we were not disappointed with the euro finding some positive sentiment and sending it firmly higher against the US dollar which was equally bearish on the faster timeframes, and so developing a nice trend. And of course this was clearly in evidence on the currency strength indicator on both the MT5 platform and the NinjaTrader...
https://youtu.be/bsKIHlKcRjo
In this session with Anna and David of Quantum trading, they focus here on the US markets and in particular the US indices using Quantum Trading indicators and tools for NinjaTrader. Using non time based charts is a popular approach for intraday traders, and in this session they focus on the NQ emini, the futures contract for the Nasdaq 100. The reason non time based charts are so popular is very simple, as they reveal market momentum, something you never see on a time based chart. As the market speeds up and slows down, so this is revealed graphically on the chart itself.
The two charting approaches used here are using renko and tick. Quantum Trading has developed a unique variant of the standard renko indicator and called the renko optimiser, which does exactly what it says. Selecting the optimal brick size is often just a guess, but not with this indicator which delivers the correct renko brick size for all...
https://youtu.be/-5MMfQ-uu5Q
Risk Off Sentiment in the London Forex Session
Risk-off sentiment often emerges in the London forex session. Uncertainty drives it. Traders sell risky assets. Safe-haven currencies gain. This creates clear opportunities in majors and crosses.
Recording of this morning's London forex session with the Aussie yen in focus in risk-off start to the trading day.
It was a risk off start to the trading day with the Japanese yen being bought universally across the market, and with the focus on the Aussie yen in particular. The Quantum currency array indicator highlighted this perfectly in the session with some excellent price action.
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Signs of Risk Off in London Open
London overlap brings high liquidity. Risk-off flows appear early. Safe-havens like JPY or CHF strengthen. Commodity currencies (AUD, NZD) weaken. Volume price analysis (VPA) confirms—high volume on yen upmoves shows conviction. Low-volume rallies in risk pairs signal traps.
Quantum Tools Spot...
VIX Continues to Drift Ever Lower
The VIX continues to drift ever lower. This signals calm markets. Low readings reflect investor complacency. Expected volatility in the S&P 500 stays subdued. Traders interpret this as risk-on sentiment.
What Is the VIX and How Does It Work
The VIX, or CBOE Volatility Index, is known as the "fear gauge". It measures implied volatility from S&P 500 options prices. Calculations look 30 days ahead. High VIX shows fear and uncertainty. Low VIX indicates confidence and stability.
Volatility Indicator as a Sentiment Indicator
A drifting lower VIX displays bullish market sentiment. Investors feel safe buying equities. Safe-haven currencies like yen weaken. And volume price analysis (VPA) complements this—low volatility often aligns with steady uptrends and rising volume.
Trading Implications
Low VIX can precede tops if complacency peaks. Watch for sudden spikes as reversals. Quantum indicators on NinjaTrader or TradingView track VIX alongside equities. Anna Coulling's VPA approach uses it for intermarket context.
Monitor the VIX drift carefully. It reveals sentiment shifts early....
As spot forex traders we sometimes forget the futures market can often help with market sentiment towards a currency and the daily chart for 6A, which is the contract for the Aussie dollar is particularly revealing.
For the 6A, it has been a return to business as usual over the last couple of weeks, since the breakaway from the VPOC at 0.7320 once again confirming the heavily bearish sentiment for the AUD.
The initial break was on the 24th August where the wide spread down candle also triggered the volatility indicator, and as expected the price action moved back within the spread of the candle; a cynical move designed to trigger stops.
Since then the candle has duly been confirmed with a rapid move through the low volume node on the VPOC indicator at 0.6980 with the pair now trading lower once again at 0.6934 in the London session.
With the weight of transacted volume now sitting overhead in the 0.7320 price area and...
In all the brouhaha about Greece and the euro it's easy to forget what else is going on in the forex market. Sometimes I feel Greece is taking up too much space in traders' heads at the expense of other markets and currencies. And for a perfect example of what I mean look no further than the continued strength in GBP which has seen some great trends in GBP/NZD & GBP/CAD & I'm still waiting for the GBP/JPY to turn lower, but only once we see a major reversal in risk sentiment.
On both charts the NinjaTrader trend monitor has remained firmly bullish with only a minor transition on the GBP/CAD reflecting the recent pause in the longer term trend. However, moving to the NinjaTrader currency strength indicator to the left of the chart, here we can see that the British Pound, the yellow line, is now moving ever deeper into the oversold region on the daily timeframe, so this trend...
Aussie Dollar Now in Sharp Focus Ahead of Trade Balance
The Aussie dollar is now in sharp focus ahead of Trade Balance data. This release measures exports vs imports. Strong figures boost AUD. Weak ones pressure it. Traders watch closely for commodity currency clues.
If you come along to our forex webinars you will always hear David & I explain the importance of the fundamental news & how easy it is to be ambushed by 'events'. But I must admit so far it's been absolutely relentless & it's only Wednesday! Coming up we have Aussie retail sales & Trade Balance - both very important numbers, and so far it's been a buy of the Aussie except against the euro - a trade we've been following. Of the two releases - the Trade Balance number has been negative since July last year, and whilst February's number was encouraging, coming in at -0.44b against a forecast of -0.85b, the subsequent releases have been dire.
Tonight's...
More Selling of the US Dollar
More selling of the US dollar continues across pairs. Bearish pressure builds steadily. This reflects shifting sentiment. Traders watch for continuation or exhaustion.
Despite it being a holiday across most of Europe for Ascension Day - it's quite lively out there at the moment. We've also just had an unscheduled comments from Mark Carney (not shown on Forex Factory), but came up on Forex Live feed. Greek Fin Min Varoufakis also speaking & even mentioning the word 'reform'.
Meanwhile on the charts it's been more selling of USD which is propelling euro & gbp higher with volatility candles on faster time frames. For cable 1.5788 is a key level being tested up to and including the daily chart. Have reading how a lot of traders are looking to short cable since it went over 1.5550, but it's just not co-operating & the principle reason is the USD which continues to be sold off.
It's only in the EUR/GBP...
Cable Continues to Build Bullish Momentum
Cable (GBP/USD) continues to build bullish momentum. Buying pressure grows steadily. Price pushes higher on consistent volume. This signals sustained demand for the pound against the dollar.
For forex traders in London yesterday morning, eurozone PMI and UK retail sales were the main items of fundamental news. And it was Cable again which provided us with some important trading lessons.
The first was how we need to be aware of positioning ahead of any major news release. In the run up to the retail sales number, Cable had been basing around the 1.4920 support platform, having come off the 1.4975 high of the previous evening, thereby creating the start of what looked to be a down candle.
However, as always is it the daily chart which is so important, providing us with a more macro view of any currency pair, and here Cable has been very bullish since bouncing off major support in the 1.4898 region.
Just Ahead
Just ahead...
Ahead of the German ZEW data this morning, markets are positioning for a move in the euro dollar, with the euro now heavily oversold and the US dollar equally over bought in the faster timeframes. Using the currency strength indicator in multiple timeframes provides a fast and visual picture of currency strength and weakness, with the euro (the gold line) now deeply oversold from the the 5 minute to the 30 minute timeframe, and preparing to reverse the longer term bearish sentiment ahead of the news. Apart from the ZEW, the only other ongoing euro news is of course Greece which continues to weigh on the single currency.
Finally remember that any market or currency can remain over extended for some time, and as always patience is the key coupled with the price action on the charts. The currency strength indicator is always the starting point to identify potential strength and weakness in an individual currency. Then it's time to consider...
