https://youtu.be/8CpODxPkX90
Learn How to Read the Economic Data and What It Reveals in the Cycle
Economic data releases drive market moves. Traders must learn to read them correctly. Data reveals where we are in the economic cycle. This guides sentiment and trading decisions. Volume price analysis (VPA) adds confirmation. Learn how to read the economic data and what it reveals in the cycle
Key Economic Indicators and Cycle Phases
The cycle has four phases: recovery, expansion, slowdown, recession. Leading indicators like PMI signal early turns. Coincident indicators (GDP, employment) show current state. Lagging indicators (unemployment rate) confirm trends.
Strong data (high PMI, low unemployment) points to expansion. Weak data signals slowdown. Central bank responses follow—rate hikes in expansion, cuts in recession.
How Data Reveals Cycle Position
Positive surprises boost risk-on sentiment. Commodity currencies (AUD, CAD) strengthen. Negative surprises favor safe-havens (JPY, CHF). Volume price analysis confirms reactions—high volume on moves shows conviction.
Trading with Data and VPA
Wait for data release. Watch initial reaction. Use VPA for confirmation—high volume...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_UvB2SBMUx8
The Importance of Trading with Multiple Time Frames (NinjaTrader)
Trading with multiple time frames is essential for success. It provides context. Higher timeframes show the big picture trend. Lower timeframes reveal precise entries and exits. This alignment reduces false signals. NinjaTrader excels for multi-timeframe trading.
In this morning's London forex webinar our focus was on the yen pairs as improved market sentiment had seen some great moves in both aud/jpy & nzd/jpy. Gbp/jpy had been lagging but strong buying of the British pound helped to propel the pair higher. The webinar also considered using multiple time frames to find significant levels of support and resistance to help determine whether the trend would continue or not.
Why Multiple Time Frames Matter
Single timeframe trading misses the full story. A 5-minute chart looks bullish. But daily shows downtrend. Multiple views align direction. Volume price analysis (VPA) confirms strength across frames. High volume on higher timeframe moves validates lower timeframe setups.
VPA and Quantum Tools on NinjaTrader
Volume price...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dTKvytVb4f8
Volume price analysis can be applied to all markets and time frames and when combined with the Quantum indicators. In this video we first looked at market sentiment through the prism of the Japanese yen and whether the open of the London session would continue the positive vibe Asia Pac or whether a reversal would be on the cards....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cUc-6BRnceQ
The advantage of using non time based charts such as tick and Renko is that they allow us to gauge the momentum and participation levels at any given time. This video is an excerpt from this morning's forex webinar we saw this in action on the aud/jpy....
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s8YEo5dDJqM
Volume price analysis is a universal trading and investing methodology and here it is in action on the silver futures chart.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b95ssPUkTHY
Support & Resistance Trading & Candle Patterns
Support and resistance trading forms the backbone of technical analysis. These levels act as barriers. Price often bounces or breaks at them. Candle patterns add confirmation. They show buyer/seller battles at key zones. Support & resistance is a key element of classic technical analysis and one of the five pillars of volume price analysis. And when combined with support & resistance from both a price and volume based perspective will give traders and investors additional confidence in identifying whether a trend is likely to reverse or not.
Key Candle Patterns at Levels
Reversal patterns like hammers or shooting stars shine at support/resistance. A hammer at support signals buying pressure. Doji candles show indecision. Engulfing patterns indicate strong shifts. Volume price analysis (VPA) validates these—high volume on reversal candles confirms conviction.
Practical Application
Combine levels with patterns for better entries. Wait for candle close at support/resistance. Check volume for strength. Quantum indicators on NinjaTrader or MT5 highlight levels and...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1OYPyDS2J5Q
Even as a day trader it's important not to underestimate the price action and volume on the daily time frame particularly from a volume price analysis perspective when increased buying and selling does not often play out immediately. The NQ was a great example with major buying coming in a few days before a significant move in the index.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=br7VunMwFTk
Markets are about risk on or risk off appetite and often the best way to establish which is prevalent is to consider proxy markets or instruments. The aud/jpy currency pair performs this function as the yen can be either a safe haven or risk currency. And as a commodity currency, the Australian dollar too gives traders and investors an insight into both the market and economies.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QfAO71OA89I
Candles and candle patterns are one of the five pillars of volume price analysis and together with a currency dashboard can help to identify and validate reversal trading opportunities.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F0pOfBXHYyU
The yen is a unique currency in the forex market as it can confirm either risk on or risk off sentiment. In this excerpt from today's forex webinar, it was a case of which of the yen pairs offered the best trading opportunity as the indices moved higher.
The Yen Complex Confirms Market Sentiment: Why JPY Behaves This Way and Key Pairs to Watch
The Japanese yen (JPY) complex is a powerful barometer for global risk sentiment. When yen pairs move together, it confirms market mood clearly. JPY strengthens in risk-off (fear). It weakens in risk-on (optimism). This relational behavior creates high-probability trades. Volume price analysis (VPA) validates conviction—high volume on yen moves shows real sentiment shifts.
Why the Yen Behaves This Way
JPY is the premier safe-haven currency:
Low Interest Rates: BoJ policy keeps rates near zero. This makes yen cheap to borrow—fueling carry trades in risk-on.
Safe-Haven Demand: In uncertainty (equities drop, crises), investors repatriate funds. Yen buying surges.
Carry Trade Dynamics:...
