https://youtu.be/4jPioInlNyg
If you're looking for a volatile currency pair to trade look no further than the GBP/JPY as I take a look at where it might be heading next.
The "dragon" in trading circles (a fun metaphor for powerful, trending market momentum—often fierce and unpredictable like a Chinese dragon) has been coiling and breathing fire lately. But where is it heading next as of January 13, 2026?
Current Market Snapshot
Global equities are mixed but leaning bullish early 2026. S&P 500 and Nasdaq hover near records on AI/tech optimism, but with caution from Fed watch and geopolitical noise. Forex sees USD softening (DXY ~102-103), commodity currencies (AUD, CAD) gaining on risk-on flows, and safe-havens (JPY, CHF) quiet.
The dragon looks headed higher in risk assets short-term—continued equity grind up, USD weakness supporting commodities/gold. But coiled for potential fire-breath downside if inflation data surprises hot or risk-off triggers hit.
Volume Price Analysis (VPA) View
VPA shows sustained buying in indices—rising prices with steady (not climactic) volume = conviction,...
Trading reversals require your stop loss to be set wider to allow for the congestion phase to develop before the trend begins. So this is not for everyone, but if you have the patience, the pay off is greater as you are getting into the trend before it begins so the payout is greater. It's all about risk and returns.
https://youtu.be/AQqakclQlq4...
https://youtu.be/jXM8xgVjiB8
Mean Reversion in Currency Markets Explained
Mean reversion is a key concept in forex trading. It states that currency prices tend to return to their historical average (or "mean") after significant deviations. Extremes are temporary. Markets correct toward equilibrium. This makes mean reversion powerful in currencies—especially in ranging conditions.
Why Mean Reversion Works in Forex
Forex is relational. Currencies trade in pairs. Balance pulls prices back. No single currency dominates forever. Central banks and arbitrage maintain fair value. Most pairs spend ~70% of time ranging, not trending. This creates frequent reversion opportunities.
Volume price analysis (VPA) spots them—low volume at extremes signals fading conviction. High opposing volume confirms the turn.
How Mean Reversion Manifests
Overbought/Oversold: Currency too strong (top rankings)—sellers emerge. Price corrects lower.
Oversold: Too weak—buyers step in. Rally follows.
Relational Balance: USD extreme vs EUR—pair reverts as fundamentals align.
Quantum currency strength indicator ranks extremes live. This flags reversion setups early.
Trading Mean Reversion with VPA
Strategies:
Fade Extremes: Sell overbought, buy oversold on volume rejection.
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