GBP/JPY begins to turn on the daily chart

GBP/JPY begins to turn on the daily chart

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
The currency strength indicator on the daily timeframe has been signalling the UK pound as strongly overbought (yellow line) and the Japanese yen (magenta line) as oversold for some time, and today has finally seen the pair move lower following last week's extended congestion phase in the 151 area of the chart. This period of price action was preceded with the two bar reversal, sending an intial signal of weakness following the overreaction to hawkish comments from the BOE, with wide spread price action in the up move, not supported or validated with volume. |For any such move, volumes should have been dramatically higher, a clear sign of the lack of participation by the insiders, and signal of a trap being set. The trap has now been sprung and helped lower with weak UK economic data as the new month begins. As we can see from the currency strength indicator on the left we have some way to go, and moving to...
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Watching the euro

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Following last week's turbulent price action, no surprise that today the markets have been a litte muted with the added bonus the Shanghai Composite only fell 5% in overnight trading. And with Japan closed for it's annual Coming of Age Holiday even the Nikkei could take a day off! Meantime last Friday the euro was the currency to watch as it ended the trading week on a burst higher against most of its counterparts, and posting very positive candles on the daily charts. However, despite an early follow through today's trading session for the euro has been marked by some great trades to the short side, in particular against the USD, the Aussie, GBP, NZD & CAD. The euro daily matrix illustrates this perfectly with the eur/usd, eur/gbp/ & eur/aud all exhibiting similar price action. The exception had been the eur/nzd, but here too the euro appears to be moving back to test the VPOC (volume point of control) at 1.6420. Against the...
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Kiwi roaring higher on the currency strength indicator

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Good to see the Kiwi on a bit of tear (the white line on the currency strength indicator), but comes as no surprise given how oversold it was at the end of last week. We've been tracking the NZD/USD which has had a huge move higher overnight & broken through the VPOC on the daily chart and is now touching the 100 ma. As we mentioned in yesterday's webinar although December price action can often seem erratic, it can nonetheless offer some great trading opportunities. And those of you who come along regularly to our webinars will know David & I are great fans of both the Kiwi and Aussie! You can register for the trading webinars here. The hourly currency strength indicator is showing some great potential set ups. Have a great trading day....
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GBP in focus ahead of Autumn budget

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
This morning's highlight comes from Chancellor George Osborne here in the UK with his Autumn Forecast Statement, so expect lots of smoke & mirrors, volatility and opportunity to shake traders out of the market.For the British pound complex on the faster time frames, it's been a case of some good moves lower against USD, JPY & euro. The hourly currency strength indicator is also highlighting the GBP as heavily oversold, but as we have said many times in our forex webinars - currencies, markets and instrument can stay stubbornly over extended much longer than we think. And as we also say in the webinars your time horizon will always be a factor in any trading decision, and also help to quantify the level of risk associated with that trade. Discover more about the currency strength indicator here....
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Cable waits on PMI

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
New trading month sees the usual crop of PMI releases. China has already reported today we have the numbers from Italy, Spain and France as well as the UK. Although UK economy is predominantly services based, the manufacturing number has been managing to hold above the key 50 level. From a technical perspective so far best move for GBP has been against the AUD with cable confined to a relatively tight range. However, we should start to see some movement once the PMI number has been released, and the new week gets under way. Interestingly cable on the daily chart is sitting neatly between the 200 & 100 mas....
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Quantum Trading apps now available on Tradable

Quantum Trading apps now available on Tradable

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
David and I delighted to announce the range of Quantum Trading indicators and apps are now available on Tradable, and both David and I are excited to be associated with such an innovative and dynamic company. Tradable, available on Windows or Mac OS, has a unique interface which enables traders to download and arrange third party developed apps, providing them with all the information they need in one place to make informed trading decisions – including market charts, news flashes, social trading feeds – as well as powerful execution tools. Traders can utilise a series of applications built by other traders on a similar experience level, or create their own, bespoke tools (apps) inside Tradable. Tradable is an award winning, easy to use platform, aimed at intermediate and experienced traders. For more information, visit www.tradable.com For a free trial of the new Quantum Trading tools, please visit http://quantumtrading.tradable.com/  ...
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Eurodollar bears take control

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Although the market is focused on tomorrow's release of the FOMC minutes, an event guaranteed to cause a degree of market volatility, it is the release of the CPI and Core CPI numbers earlier in the session which are probably even more important. Of the two releases it is the Core CPI the FED pays the most attention to, and a big influence on the likely timing of any rise in interest rates. Meantime, the USD appears to have found its mojo once again following last week's dramatic fall, with the eurodollar bearing the brunt of this resurgence. The daily chart for the eurodollar is particularly interesting where weakness for the pair started last week with the failure to break and hold above the VPOC (volume point of control) in the 1.1167 price region. Friday's close below the 100 ma appears to have been the catalyst for a pick up in bearish sentiment for eurodollar which saw the pair close yesterday's trading...
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And now we wait for the forex market to open!

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Have been reading that carnage is expected and word is EUR/USD has already dropped to 1.1029 - although my MT4 hasn't started as yet, so we will have to wait & see. Meantime here are some levels for some of the euro pairs : EUR/USD - was already bearish & shorts at CFTC increased last week. Putting the 1.1029 aside for the time being - 1.1052 is the first level of support & if breached 1.0819 comes into play where a high volume node on the VPOC awaits. EUR/JPY - Has been in congestion for a number of days having failed to breach the 140.78 price point & now looking to turn bearish. The immediate level below is at 137.57 with any move through here then likely to test the 136.69 region. The VPOC continues to remain in the 134.94 region for the time being and should this be taken out then a longer term bearish trend will ensue. EUR/AUD - The interest rate...
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Central banks and GBP centre stage on currency matrix

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
We have four central banks on today's trading horizon, BOJ, RBA, BOE & later this evening we have interest rate decision, policy statement and a press conference from the RBNZ. I really must come up with a collective noun for the CB's! In between we have the Manufacturing Number for the UK where forecast is for 0.1% against a previous of 0.4%. This release can be very difficult to judge as there has been no clear trend since 2009 when the number was consistently awful. On the GBP matrix we have seen some strong buying of GBP against USD, which is not surprising given the alleged Obama comments at the G7. However, GBP buying actually started last week after NFP. It was the deep lower wick to Friday's candle which signaled a potential reversal for cable. This was given further impetus on Monday, & the buying was cemented as yesterday's candle ended the session with an even deeper lower wick. The current daily chart...
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EUR/NZD reverses recent trend for the New Zealand dollar

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
The EUR/NZD has delivered some excellent trading opportunities across all the timeframes this morning to the short side, following the recent heavily bearish sentiment towards the New Zealand dollar which has seen it weaken against all the major currencies. Indeed longer term the NZD is now looking increasingly oversold, so we may see this trend reflected on the slower timeframe charts in due course. This morning's move was signalled initially with a move below the volume point of control (VPOC) on the 30 minute chart ( the yellow line), a move that was duly supported with rising volume and confirming the bearish sentiment. In addition, the transition in the trend monitor indicator from blue to red also confirmed this reversal, coupled with a pivot high indicator prior to the move through the VPOC. Since then, momentum to the downside has increased with volumes also rising sharply and confirming the wide spread down candle as we approach a potential area of support...
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