CSI highlights GBP sell off

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
CSI Highlights GBP Sell Off The Currency Strength Indicator (CSI) highlights GBP sell off clearly. It ranks currencies by relative performance. GBP drops sharply in rankings. This signals heavy selling pressure. Traders see weakness early. Ahead of the release of the Monetary Policy Minutes from the RBA, and tomorrow's CPI number for the UK, it's been interesting to see how the Aussie and British pound have been behaving in today's trading session. And of the two currencies it has been the British pound which has seen some heavy selling against both the USD and the Aussie. The hourly chart of the CSI (currency strength indicator) highlighted the extent to which the British pound was overbought, and Cable's failure to take out the resistance at 1.5688 signaled the start of a reversal in fortune for the pair and a move lower of over 100 pips.  And it has only been a combination of the VPOC at 1.5585 and support at 1.5578 that has prevented...
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USD looks set to move higher

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
USD Looks Set to Move Higher The USD looks set to move higher in recent sessions. Buying pressure builds steadily. This reflects renewed dollar strength. Traders watch for continuation across majors. In the current media speculation surrounding the impact of the PBOC decision to revalue/devalue the yuan, particularly on how this may (or may not) affect the FED's decision about raising interest rates, it is easy to forget two things. First, the fundamental news releases which too will add their own layer of volatility, and second Greece, which today is back centre stage as the Greek parliament meets today in emergency session to ratify the latest bail out deal. Key Releases Today's key releases are primarily in the US with retail sales, core retail sales and the unemployment claims due. And of these it is the retail sales numbers which the market will be focused on primarily because they may give some guidance as to the FED's thinking about interest rates. Meantime in this morning's...
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NZD/USD rebounds following PBOC

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
NZD/USD Rebounds Following PBOC NZD/USD rebounds following PBOC actions. People's Bank of China stimulus often boosts risk sentiment. This supports commodity currencies like NZD. The rebound shows renewed buying pressure against USD. Perhaps, not surprisingly, it has been the Aussie and Kiwi which have responded the most to the PBOC (People's Bank of China) move to devalue the yuan, with the AUD/USD completely erasing last Friday's and Monday's gains to end yesterday's trading session just over the key 0.73 level. Further falls overnight has seen the pair tumble to 0.7224 since when it has staged a remarkable comeback in the London session to trade (at time of writing) at 0.7330. The move off the session lows has also co-incided with our last VPOC supoort line on both the daily and weekly charts. On the daily chart the first target for AUD/USD is the VPOC resistance at 0.7395, followed by further resistance at 0.7438, and yesterday's high. However, the extent of the comeback for...
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The VPOC indicator for NinjaTrader in action!

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
The VPOC Indicator for NinjaTrader in Action! The Volume Point of Control (VPOC) indicator on NinjaTrader is in action across sessions. It marks the price with the highest traded volume. This reveals "fair value" levels. Price often reacts here. Traders use it for support, resistance, or reversals. In this video we take a closer look at the VPOC indicator for Ninjatrader, and see it in action across a variety of markets and timeframes. We start by looking at the ES mini on fast 3-minute and higher timeframe charts as the physical market opens to join Globex. Next we look at the VPOC on a GBP/USD chart on seconds, and to complete the trio of faster time frame charts, we look at the NQ emini on a tick chart. The VPOC indicator for Ninjatrader works in exactly the same way, whether on a minute chart, a seconds chart or a tick chart. Finally, to round off this video, we take a look at some...
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The VPOC – volume point of control now on NinjaTrader

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
The VPOC – Volume Point of Control Now on NinjaTrader The Volume Point of Control (VPOC) is now available on NinjaTrader. This powerful indicator marks the price level with the highest traded volume in a session. It reveals "fair value". Price often gravitates here. Traders use VPOC for key support, resistance, or reversal zones. The Quantum VPOC indicator has been developed to expand the two dimensional study of volume and price, to a three dimensional one which embraces time. The volume/price/time relationship then provides real insight to the inner workings of the market and the heartbeat of sentiment and risk which drives the price action accordingly. The VPOC indicator for NinjaTrader displays the transacted volume at the various price levels vertically on the right hand side of the chart, showing instantly those regions where volume is most intense, as well as those where volume is weak. This then creates the valleys and troughs of the volume profile with what we call High Volume...
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The VPOC volume point of control indicator for MT4

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Click here to watch the video Most technical indicators uncover and exploit the price patterns on the charts and make assumptions, suggestions, and predictions of the next price movement accordingly. However, price is only half the story. The measure of activity behind price movement is key. It is the crescendo and diminuendo of ‘market noise’ which holds the key. In other words - volume For the traders of the past, tape reading was all they had, reading volume and price as the ticker tape punched out the last price and associated volume, a powerful approach we still use today with the Quantum tick volumes indicator. But now, with the Quantum VPOC ( volume point of control) indicator we have taken the analysis of volume and price to a higher level, which both compliments and expands the VPA relationship. Whilst the Quantum tick volumes indicator considers the relationship between a single volume bar and its associated candle, the Quantum VPOC indicator analyses the density...
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And now we wait for the forex market to open!

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
Have been reading that carnage is expected and word is EUR/USD has already dropped to 1.1029 - although my MT4 hasn't started as yet, so we will have to wait & see. Meantime here are some levels for some of the euro pairs : EUR/USD - was already bearish & shorts at CFTC increased last week. Putting the 1.1029 aside for the time being - 1.1052 is the first level of support & if breached 1.0819 comes into play where a high volume node on the VPOC awaits. EUR/JPY - Has been in congestion for a number of days having failed to breach the 140.78 price point & now looking to turn bearish. The immediate level below is at 137.57 with any move through here then likely to test the 136.69 region. The VPOC continues to remain in the 134.94 region for the time being and should this be taken out then a longer term bearish trend will ensue. EUR/AUD -...
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Forget the euro, look at the British pound!

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
In all the brouhaha about Greece and the euro it's easy to forget what else is going on in the forex market. Sometimes I feel Greece is taking up too much space in traders' heads at the expense of other markets and currencies. And for a perfect example of what I mean look no further than the continued strength in GBP which has seen some great trends in GBP/NZD & GBP/CAD & I'm still waiting for the GBP/JPY to turn lower, but only once we see a major reversal in risk sentiment. On both charts the NinjaTrader trend monitor has remained firmly bullish with only a minor transition on the GBP/CAD reflecting the recent pause in the longer term trend. However, moving to the NinjaTrader currency strength indicator to the left of the chart, here we can see that the British Pound, the yellow line, is now moving ever deeper into the oversold region on the daily timeframe, so this trend...
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RBNZ drives volatility into the New Zealand dollar overnight!

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
The RBNZ certainly livened things up overnight - I don't remember seeing quite so many gaps or such strong moves delivered by one currency! NZD is pretty illiquid at the best of times, so any volatility will magnify any moves. With the NZD it's a case of the central bank making it very clear further rate cuts are on their way & with the US finding some bullish sentiment this morning - NZD/USD looks set for a further fall. So far this morning the pair has managed to find some support at the 0.70 region, but a quick look at the weekly and monthly chart reveals the extent of this bearish sentiment. with the month chart in particular, where the price is now at the 200 ma. The VPOC ( volume point of control) is now well above the current price action and adding further weight to the bearish sentiment. In addition, with several LVN (low volume nodes) we are likely to...
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Central banks and GBP centre stage on currency matrix

by Quantum Trading Comment Closed
We have four central banks on today's trading horizon, BOJ, RBA, BOE & later this evening we have interest rate decision, policy statement and a press conference from the RBNZ. I really must come up with a collective noun for the CB's! In between we have the Manufacturing Number for the UK where forecast is for 0.1% against a previous of 0.4%. This release can be very difficult to judge as there has been no clear trend since 2009 when the number was consistently awful. On the GBP matrix we have seen some strong buying of GBP against USD, which is not surprising given the alleged Obama comments at the G7. However, GBP buying actually started last week after NFP. It was the deep lower wick to Friday's candle which signaled a potential reversal for cable. This was given further impetus on Monday, & the buying was cemented as yesterday's candle ended the session with an even deeper lower wick. The current daily chart...
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