Mean reversion explained for currency markets
https://youtu.be/jXM8xgVjiB8
Mean Reversion in Currency Markets Explained
Mean reversion is a key concept in forex trading. It states that currency prices tend to return to their historical average (or "mean") after significant deviations. Extremes are temporary. Markets correct toward equilibrium. This makes mean reversion powerful in currencies—especially in ranging conditions.
Why Mean Reversion Works in Forex
Forex is relational. Currencies trade in pairs. Balance pulls prices back. No single currency dominates forever. Central banks and arbitrage maintain fair value. Most pairs spend ~70% of time ranging, not trending. This creates frequent reversion opportunities.
Volume price analysis (VPA) spots them—low volume at extremes signals fading conviction. High opposing volume confirms the turn.
How Mean Reversion Manifests
Overbought/Oversold: Currency too strong (top rankings)—sellers emerge. Price corrects lower.
Oversold: Too weak—buyers step in. Rally follows.
Relational Balance: USD extreme vs EUR—pair reverts as fundamentals align.
Quantum currency strength indicator ranks extremes live. This flags reversion setups early.
Trading Mean Reversion with VPA
Strategies:
Fade Extremes: Sell overbought, buy oversold on volume rejection.
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