https://youtu.be/V_6eTRlpyhc
Why Is GBP/JPY So Volatile?
GBP/JPY is one of the most volatile forex pairs. Traders call it "the beast" or "dragon." Sharp swings create big opportunities—and big risks. This volatility comes from the pair's unique characteristics. Volume price analysis (VPA) helps navigate the chaos. In the video we apply Wyckoffian principles and volume price analysis to the 10 minute chart for the GBP/JPY.
Drivers of GBP/JPY Volatility
The pair combines two contrasting currencies:
British Pound (GBP): Sensitive to UK data (GDP, inflation, retail sales) and BoE policy. Political events add swings.
Japanese Yen (JPY): Classic safe-haven. Strengthens sharply in risk-off (equities drop, uncertainty rises).
This opposition amplifies moves. Risk-on weakens JPY—GBP/JPY rallies. Risk-off strengthens JPY—pair plunges. Carry trade (borrow low-yield JPY for GBP) unwinds fast in fear—adding fuel.
VPA confirms—high volume on spikes shows conviction. Low volume extremes warn of reversals.
Why It's More Volatile Than Most Pairs
No USD buffer—pure GBP vs JPY dynamics. London session (GBP focus) overlaps Asia (JPY flows). News clusters create spikes....
https://youtu.be/P_dc3igYbq8
Getting into a Trend Using the Currency Strength Indicator
Getting into a trend early gives traders an edge. The currency strength indicator helps spot these opportunities. It ranks currencies by relative performance. Strong currencies rise to the top. Weak ones fall to the bottom. This reveals emerging trends quickly. In this session from the London forex session we explain how to use the currency strength indicator to help you get into a trend.
How the Indicator Signals Trends
The indicator updates in real time. Look for sustained extremes—currencies staying strong or weak over sessions. Pair the strongest with the weakest for momentum plays. Volume price analysis (VPA) confirms entry—high volume on moves shows conviction.
Practical Steps for Trend Entries
Select pairs from extremes on the indicator. Confirm with higher timeframe alignment. Enter on pullbacks with volume support. Quantum Trading's indicator on MT5 or NinjaTrader includes alerts for timely action. Avoid middling pairs in choppy markets.
Anna Coulling's approach uses this for disciplined trend trading. The currency...
https://youtu.be/AjnzbKyikpU
How to Find the Best Trades Using the Currency Strength Indicator & Currency Matrix
Finding the best trades starts with relational analysis. The currency strength indicator ranks currencies by performance. The currency matrix shows cross-pair dynamics. Together, they highlight extremes for high-probability setups.
The starting point for finding the best trades for forex starts with the currency strength indicator, and from there moving on to the currency matrix. Isolating out the currencies and using the bookmark function then provides an excellent focus.
Step 1: Spot Extremes on the Strength Indicator
Look for currencies at the top (strong) or bottom (weak). These extremes signal potential trends or reversals. Pair strongest with weakest for momentum plays. Volume price analysis (VPA) confirms conviction on moves.
Step 2: Use the Matrix for Confirmation
The currency matrix reveals inter-pair relationships. It shows how one currency affects others. Focus on bold colors for overbought/oversold. Quantum tools on MT5 or NinjaTrader make this visual and easy.
Practical Tips for Better Trades
Combine both for filtered...
https://youtu.be/yNvSwgRt-B4
This morning's session with Anna and David of Quantum Trading followed both the London and European open, with the Swiss franc the currency in focus and in particular for the Swiss yen. The timeframe here was the 30 minute with the longer term bullish trend picking up momentum once more with volume driving the pair higher, as shown on the annotated example. Throughout this phase of price action the trend monitor has helped to confirm the trend as the bearish trend weakened before picking up the bullish tone with a consequent rotation from bright red to bright blue.
More importantly, even though the trend paused, the trend monitor with the trend line continued to flag bullish sentiment and helping to keep traders in the trend. This is one of the hardest things to do in trading as the emotional response is to close out and take any profit off the table resulting in a small profit, rather than a larger one...
Sterling Bears Out in Force
Sterling bears are out in force recently. GBP pairs sell off sharply. This reveals strong bearish sentiment. The currency strength indicator highlighted it early. Volume price analysis (VPA) confirmed the weakness.
A worse-than-expected UK manufacturing production figure of -0.4% against a forecast of 0.1% (-0.4% was the figure in December) has given sterling bears a further excuse to sell the currency, with some really nice downtrends in a number of GBP pairs. In addition, industrial production also followed a similar trend coming at -0.7% against a forecast of 0%, and declining further against last month's number of 0.1%,
The data injected volatility into the sterling pairs, with volatility candles triggering in the faster time frames. Cable managed to find some minor support at 1.4458, before moving lower, and what is significant is that the hourly CSI is showing GBP as likely to be moving steadily lower, and we will have to wait for the US session to see...
With year end on the horizon, now perhaps is a good time to see what the Swiss franc has been up in an effort to determine what the currency is likely to be doing in the run up to the 15th January 2015 anniversary when the SNB (Swiss National Bank) removed the floor of support for the currency, unleashing a wave of volatility on the markets not seen since the dark days of the financial crisis back in 2008.
From a technical standpoint the Swiss Franc is now heavily oversold on the hourly and daily currency strength indicator, against most of its counterparts, with the exception of the where the picture is very different, with the pair firmly range bound albeit well below the 1.20 price point, which triggered the January volatility.
With regard to the other CHF pairs, and in particular the USD/CHF the current move higher that started in mid October is now reaching an exhaustion point, as the pair...
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Despite finding support at 1.0996 following last week's mauling eurodollar is struggling to hold onto the weak overnight gains. 15 min chart for the pair is particuarly revealing with a series of volatility candles triggered as the combination of the resistance at 1.1056 and the 100ma have been taken by traders as an excuse to sell.
Other euro pairs also taking a tumble include the EUR/GBP and EUR/CAD, the former sitting neatly on the VPOC on the 15 min timeframe which sits at the 0.7180 region, and any move through here could see the pair test support at 0.7168. Any move lower for the EUR/GBP cross is also benefiting from a move higher in cable.
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Aussie Waits on RBA
The Aussie dollar waits on RBA decisions. Rate holds or changes drive volatility. Traders watch closely for clues on monetary policy. This often sets the tone for AUD pairs.
Some really nice two way price action on the Aussie complex which started overnight on the release of Chinese data, namely GDP, the Industrial Production and the Fixed Asset Investment numbers. The hourly chart for the complex clearly shows volatility candles being triggered across the board (as denoted by the purple arrows), with the Aussie rising sharply before moving back inside the spread of the volatility candle. This momentum was also signaled on the currency strength indicator before the currency moved into a consolidation phase in the transition to the European and London sessions.
Further Gains
There were further gains for the Aussie in the morning session, until bullish momemtum drained away which resulted in some great trades to the short side. These were particularly evident in the AUD/USD, GBP/AUD and...
Aussie Finding Some Bullish Momentum
The Aussie is finding some bullish momentum recently. AUD pairs push higher. This reflects renewed buying interest. Commodity links and risk sentiment support the move. Traders spot opportunities in AUD crosses.
Of the three commodity dollars, namely the Aussie, Kiwi and Loonie it is perhaps the Aussie which finally appears to be showing signs of a potential reversal from its oversold state on the slower time frames of our currency strength indicatort (the blue line). And of the Aussie pairs it is perhaps the AUD/USD and AUD/CAD which appear the most interesting.
Starting With AUD/USD
Starting with the AUD/USD it was the failure in May to break through the resistance at 0.8160 which was the start of the its downards descent which saw the pair finally find some support at 0.6906 on the Friday before the Labor Day Holiday in the US. And whilst this level was tested once again last Monday, since then the AUD/USD has managed to...
