Currency indicators in focus in the London forex session

Currency indicators in focus in the London forex session

All the currency indicators for MT5 were in focus in this session with the pound complex delivering some excellent moves in the GBP/JPY, the GBP/CHF and the GBP/CAD. In this session we also explain the importance of the volume point of control and understanding support and resistance, whether price based, or volume and time. https://youtu.be/YbIlsk7SPjA...
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Volatility, the currency matrix indicator and volume price analysis

Volatility, the currency matrix indicator and volume price analysis

In this forex trading session, we take a closer look at the volatility indicator on the GBP/JPY and also explain the importance of the values on the currency matrix as currency pairs approach the extremes. https://youtu.be/op3yikVM1RA...
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Cycles explained with the currency strength indicator and volume price analysis

Cycles explained with the currency strength indicator and volume price analysis

https://youtu.be/wIBw-heIsts In this morning's forex trading session, David and I explained the price cycle for forex markets, and through the prism of the Quantum Trading currency strength indicator. This indicator for MT4, MT5, and NinjaTrader describes the journey every currency makes from overbought to oversold and back again and reflecting the Wyckoffian principles of primary and secondary trends, as well as explaining how markets move from accumulation to distribution and back again in all time-frames. All of this is of course underpinned by their core methodology which is volume price analysis and which is complemented with the full suite of tools and indicators from Quantum Trading. By Anna Coulling Charts from MT5 and NinjaTrader...
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Volume point of control (VPOC) holds key for gold

Volume point of control (VPOC) holds key for gold

All traders understand the significance of price levels, and use any number of methods of trying to establish which are important and which to target not only as potential price objectives, but also try to try and establish where price is likely to stall. And what makes a price level significant is whether it is reflected across different time frames, and we have a great example from the daily and monthly charts for gold. On the daily chart we've seen some reasonable buying coming in at 1235, and perhaps even the start of a double bottom with the Camarilla marking the upside levels that need to be breached. But the monthly is looking bearish as the gold price is trying to break away from VPOC in the 1260 region, but what is significant this is also the R4 level on the daily and which is where only a break and hold here would signal the resumption of bullish sentiment. However, short term the...
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Classic VPA on GBP/JPY

A classic VPA on 5 min chart of GBP/JPY on the release of NFP today. Huge down candle on light volume, before we saw a switch back higher as market absorbed poor numbers, and likelihood of a September FED hike in interest rates disappear faster than snow in July. The trigger of the volatility indicator (purple arrows) also signaled high probability of a re-trace to within spread of the down candle. Volume simply validated this point. Indeed FED Funds Rate now pricing in a 44% probability of a rise in rates in December which is a re-run of last year's interest rate saga. As of yesterday FED funds showing a 30% probability of a rise in September  ...
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Majors wait for the FED

Ahead of today's release of the FOMC minutes it has been the commodity dollars that have reacted most strongly to a stronger USD, whilst eurodollar and cable have been contained to a very narrow trading range. It will be interesting to see whether these two laggards will play catch up once the minutes hit the news wires. USD/JPY too has been contained with the pair cautiously approaching the 124 price point, but finding the 123.60 price level so far difficult to breach. For the USD/JPY it will be a case of the reaction in equities which will determine whether we see any further upwards momentum in this pair, as the market waits for clues as to the FED's intentions towards interest rates.  ...
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Cable waits on PMI

New trading month sees the usual crop of PMI releases. China has already reported today we have the numbers from Italy, Spain and France as well as the UK. Although UK economy is predominantly services based, the manufacturing number has been managing to hold above the key 50 level. From a technical perspective so far best move for GBP has been against the AUD with cable confined to a relatively tight range. However, we should start to see some movement once the PMI number has been released, and the new week gets under way. Interestingly cable on the daily chart is sitting neatly between the 200 & 100 mas....
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Aussie waits on RBA

Some really nice two way price action on the Aussie complex which started overnight on the release of Chinese data, namely GDP, the Industrial Production and the Fixed Asset Investment numbers. The hourly chart for the complex clearly shows volatility candles being triggered across the board (as denoted by the purple arrows), with the Aussie rising sharply before moving back inside the spread of the volatility candle. This momentum was also signaled on the currency strength indicator before the currency moved into a consolidation phase in the transition to the European and London sessions. There were further gains for the Aussie in the morning session, until bullish momemtum drained away which resulted in some great trades to the short side. These were particularly evident in the AUD/USD, GBP/AUD and AUD/NZD. The Aussie now faces another important item of fundamental news, specifically the RBA Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes which may give traders some indication of whether the central bank is likely to cut...
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Is AUD/USD finally preparing to reverse higher?

The Aussiedollar weekly chart is another classic example of how patience can be richly rewarded following the extended congestion phase of March to August 2014 which saw the pair trade in an increasingly tighter range around the VPOC (volume point of control) in the 0.93 to 0.94 price area. This type of price action is always a signal of an explosive move once the breakaway occurs. And as we can see clearly on the chart this phase of price action came to a dramatic end with a wide spread down candle which triggered the volatility indicator (the purple arrows top and bottom), as the price action moved outside the average true range in this time frame. The price action to the downside was duly confirmed with a close well outside the volatility candle and further confirming the inherent weakness in the pair. Since last August the trend lower has also been perfectly confirmed and defined by the dynamic price pivots in a...
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