Oil Delivers….Again, and Again, and Again….
Oil has been a trader’s dream lately. It delivers consistent opportunities. The price keeps falling. This creates straightforward, low-risk, high-return trades. WTI futures lead the way. Momentum stays bearish across all timeframes.
It’s often hard to find trading opportunities which just deliver, and keep delivering, but for oil this has been the case over the last few weeks, and this was no different yesterday, with the WTI futures as the price of oil fell once more, and offering straightforward, low risk, high return trading opportunities in all time frames.
The primary decision trading decision here is the number of contract to trade, with the time and non time based charts providing those key insights to maximize returns. And here, it really is a case of make hay while the sun shines. These fantastic trading opportunities don’t come along every day, and until OPEC moves and potentially introduces supply cuts, this bearish momentum looks set to continue, but as always it will be volume which reveals any turn points or primary reversals in due course. So enjoy the ride lower!
Why Oil Keeps Delivering
The bearish trend in oil persists. Supply concerns and demand weakness drive it. No OPEC cuts in sight yet. This sustains downside pressure. Volume price analysis (VPA) confirms conviction—high volume on down candles shows selling strength.
Trading the Move Effectively
The key decision is position size. Time-based and non-time-based charts guide this. Renko or tick charts reveal participation surges. Quantum indicators on NinjaTrader make it clear. Maximize returns while risk stays low.
When the Trend Might Change
These opportunities don’t last forever. Watch for reversal signals. Stopping volume at lows hints at buyers. Quantum VPOC and Accumulation/Distribution spot turns early. Until then, enjoy the ride lower.
Make hay while the sun shines. Oil’s bearish momentum offers terrific trades. VPA with Quantum tools keeps you aligned. Stay disciplined for consistent results.
Trading Natural Gas Trends
Natural gas (primarily Henry Hub futures, /NG) is a highly volatile commodity. Trends are driven by weather, storage levels, LNG exports, and supply dynamics. As of January 2026, prices hover around $3.2-3.3/MMBtu, rebounding from late-2025 lows but facing surplus storage pressure. Forecasts for 2026 average $3.5-4.5/MMBtu, with bullish long-term sentiment from growing LNG demand.
Key Drivers of Natural Gas Trends
- Weather → Cold winters spike demand (heating); mild reduces it.
- Storage → EIA weekly reports—surpluses pressure prices down.
- LNG Exports → Growing US exports support long-term uptrends.
- Supply → Shale production vs. OPEC+ indirect influence.
Trading Trends with Volume Price Analysis (VPA)
VPA excels in natural gas due to centralized volume data:
- Trend Confirmation — Rising prices with increasing volume = strong uptrend (e.g., cold snap demand).
- Reversals — Divergence (price highs on low volume) signals exhaustion.
- Breakouts — High volume through key levels (e.g., $3.50 resistance) validates momentum.
Quantum indicators on NinjaTrader enhance VPA—Trend Monitor for alignment, VPOC for volume clusters.
Strategies
- Seasonal Trends — Long in winter on volume surges; short oversupply summers.
- News Events — Trade storage reports or weather forecasts—confirm with VPA volume.
- Relational — Watch CAD (oil-linked) or USD strength.
Risk: Extreme volatility—use tight stops. Current outlook: Moderate upside in 2026 from LNG, but weather/storage key risks.
Natural gas trends reward patience and volume confirmation. Quantum tools make spotting them reliable. Trade the drivers—stay disciplined! 🚀
By Anna Coulling